March 24, 2010
(Remarks as Prepared)
In the 1970s, China injected itself with economic reform. Now, in 2010, China appears afflicted by a menacing strain of that reform that is either constraining a global economic recovery or, worse, capable of creating a new economic pandemic. While China’s emergence as an economic powerhouse has rightly grabbed our attention, however, the trends are not new, and there are some predictable similarities between China’s economy now and Japan’s in the 1980s. It is critical that China address the serious flaws in its economic structure, but we should remember we’ve seen this before, although perhaps not on this scale.
This hearing is about China’s currency policy and global imbalances. Like the IMF has, I can stipulate that China’s currency is undervalued, plain and simple. I can also agree with G20 leaders that the world has steep imbalances that must be corrected. But let’s not lose sight of the fact that there are fundamental problems with China’s economy, and let’s not pretend that China’s intervention in the currency markets, by itself, is the root cause of our ten percent unemployment or of China’s ten percent annual GDP growth.
We’ll hear today from some pretty bright economists on the problems with China’s economy. I’m looking forward to hearing what they have to say. My going-in view is that China’s deliberate and dangerous wealth transfer from everyday households to inefficient export-platform factories is standing in the way of the domestic consumption that the Chinese (and the rest of the world) believe the Chinese (and the rest of the world) so desperately need. China must introduce global best practices into its banking sector, mature its financial markets, better protect intellectual property rights, and open more comprehensively to foreign direct investment. China also should open its markets much more fully to all goods and services, particularly those coming from the United States. Read the rest of this entry »