By Simon Kennedy and Thomas R. Keene
April 29 (Bloomberg) — Harvard University Professor Martin Feldstein said Greece will eventually default on its bonds and other euro-area nations may follow, most probably Portugal.
“Greece is going to default despite all the talk, despite the liquidity package,” Feldstein, who warned almost two decades ago that the euro would prove an “economic liability,” said in an interview with Tom Keene on Bloomberg Radio today.
Greek officials are hammering out the terms of a three-year rescue package with European Union and International Monetary Fund officials that will probably give the country a loan of 45 billion euros ($59 billion) for 2010 alone. Greek bonds have plunged on concern about the country’s ability to pay its debt despite denials from officials that a default is in prospect.
Greece’s fiscal turmoil is now infecting other markets, with Standard & Poor’s this week downgrading Portugal and Spain, as well as Greece. Feldstein said other members of the 16-nation euro area may also default, with Portugal the main candidate.
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